Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Berlin v Wolfsburg — Team-Based Signals
Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Union Berlin
AL1
1-1
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
AL1
2-1
HT 1-1
Wolfsburg
AFK
2-0
HT 0-0
Wolfsburg
AL1
Union Berlin 1-0 Wolfsburg — Actual Match Statistics
Union Berlin edged past Wolfsburg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Union Berlin as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Union Berlin had 45% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 55%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.19 to 1.86 — on chances, Wolfsburg could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Berlin had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union Berlin and 0.83 for Wolfsburg.
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg?
Union Berlin 1-0 Wolfsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 41%, draw 27%, Wolfsburg 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Berlin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.