Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wolfsburg v Union Berlin — Team-Based Signals
Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Union Berlin
AL1
1-1
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
AL1
2-1
HT 1-1
Wolfsburg
AFK
2-0
HT 0-0
Wolfsburg
AL1
1-0
HT 1-0
Union Berlin
AL1
Wolfsburg 1-0 Union Berlin — Actual Match Statistics
Wolfsburg nicked a narrow win over Union Berlin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Wolfsburg as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Wolfsburg had 55% of the ball to Union Berlin's 45%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.58 to 0.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Berlin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wolfsburg and 1.17 for Union Berlin.
What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin?
Wolfsburg 1-0 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 41%, draw 26%, Union Berlin 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.