Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Borussia Dortmund v Freiburg — Team-Based Signals
Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 2-1
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
5-1
HT 1-1
Freiburg
AL1
1-3
HT 1-0
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
5-1
HT 3-0
Freiburg
AL1
2-1
HT 1-0
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
Borussia Dortmund 4-0 Freiburg — Actual Match Statistics
Borussia Dortmund swept aside Freiburg 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Borussia Dortmund as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.
On the day, Borussia Dortmund had 59% of the ball to Freiburg's 41%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.34 to 0.82.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.17 for Freiburg.
What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg?
Borussia Dortmund 4-0 Freiburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 46%, draw 27%, Freiburg 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.