Bayer Leverkusen vs Heidenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bayer Leverkusen v Heidenheim — Team-Based Signals
Bayer Leverkusen vs Heidenheim Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-0
Heidenheim
AL1
2-1
HT 0-1
Bayer Leverkusen
AFK
Bayer Leverkusen 5-2 Heidenheim — Actual Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen cruised past Heidenheim 5-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 78% of the ball to Heidenheim's 22%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.23 to 1.06.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.33 for Heidenheim.
What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Heidenheim?
Bayer Leverkusen 5-2 Heidenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs Heidenheim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 57%, draw 24%, Heidenheim 19%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.