Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 Werder Bremen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 23 Nov 2024

Eintracht Frankfurt
1-0 HT 1-0
Werder Bremen
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.43
Over 2.5
67%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.32
2-3 Goals
35%
2.0
4-5 Goals
28%
2.73
6+ Goals
19%
6.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
16%
4.46
X/2
11%
9.28
X/X
10%
6.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.45
2/2
11%
6.1
2/X
8%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.45 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
33%
Under 2.5
38%
-4.1pp
67%
Over 2.5
62%
+4.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.9pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eintracht Frankfurt v Werder Bremen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
2.04/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.56
+4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -14%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
413 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
24.1 Crosses 16.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Werder Bremen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.91 xG 1.18
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
462 Passes 313
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.04.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
12.11.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-2 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
18.02.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
28.08.2022 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-4 HT 2-3 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
26.02.2021 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
31.10.2020 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 Werder Bremen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
1-0
AWAY Werder Bremen
1.14 xG 0.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
393 Passes 373
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt squeezed past Werder Bremen 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Eintracht Frankfurt as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 50% of the ball to Werder Bremen's 50%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.14 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Frankfurt had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.50 for Werder Bremen.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen?

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 Werder Bremen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 49%, draw 24%, Werder Bremen 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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