Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Berlin v Wolfsburg — Team-Based Signals
Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Union Berlin
AL1
1-1
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
AL1
2-1
HT 1-1
Wolfsburg
AFK
2-0
HT 0-0
Wolfsburg
AL1
1-0
HT 1-0
Union Berlin
AL1
2-0
HT 0-0
Wolfsburg
AL1
Union Berlin 1-0 Wolfsburg — Actual Match Statistics
Union Berlin nicked a narrow win over Wolfsburg 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Berlin as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Union Berlin had 41% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 59%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.50 to 1.32 — on chances, Wolfsburg could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Berlin had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union Berlin and 0.83 for Wolfsburg.
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg?
Union Berlin 1-0 Wolfsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 42%, draw 25%, Wolfsburg 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Berlin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.