Augsburg 2-2 RB Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
50%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.58
2-3 Goals
37%
2.0
4-5 Goals
27%
2.6
6+ Goals
14%
6.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.08
1/2
8%
19.45
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
9%
9.36
X/2
21%
4.31
X/X
10%
6.36
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
21%
2.1
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-3.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsburg EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 58%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -17%
1.17/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.01
-8% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +12%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 83%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
17.6 Crosses 16.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Augsburg
0W-2D-4L
AWAY RB Leipzig
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.08 xG 2.18
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
264 Passes 511
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-0 HT 3-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
15.04.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-2 HT 3-1 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
22.10.2022 Augsburg Augsburg 3-3 HT 1-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
08.05.2022 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 4-0 HT 1-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
15.12.2021 Augsburg Augsburg 1-1 HT 0-1 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
12.02.2021 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1 HT 2-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Augsburg
2-2
AWAY RB Leipzig
0.74 xG 1.36
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 3
259 Passes 390
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Augsburg vs RB Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsburg and RB Leipzig shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was RB Leipzig at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Augsburg had 42% of the ball to RB Leipzig's 58%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.74 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Augsburg and 2.67 for RB Leipzig.

What was the final score of Augsburg vs RB Leipzig?

Augsburg 2-2 RB Leipzig in the Germany - Bundesliga on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsburg vs RB Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Augsburg 25%, draw 24%, RB Leipzig 50%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RB Leipzig) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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