Chemie Leipzig 0-3 Lokomotive Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.22/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.56
-10% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemie Leipzig
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 HT 1-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
05.05.2024 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 HT 0-2 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
26.11.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
02.04.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
16.10.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 3-0 HT 1-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
07.05.2022 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 2-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotive Leipzig swept aside Chemie Leipzig 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lokomotive Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chemie Leipzig and 1.17 for Lokomotive Leipzig.

What was the final score of Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Chemie Leipzig 0-3 Lokomotive Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotive Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chemie Leipzig 32%, draw 23%, Lokomotive Leipzig 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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