Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 Chemie Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
35%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
52%
-13.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+11.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.62/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.80
-11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 HT 0-2 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
26.11.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
02.04.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
16.10.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 3-0 HT 1-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
07.05.2022 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 2-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
21.11.2021 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemie Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotive Leipzig beat Chemie Leipzig 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Lokomotive Leipzig found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lokomotive Leipzig and 0.83 for Chemie Leipzig.

What was the final score of Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemie Leipzig?

Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 Chemie Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemie Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotive Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lokomotive Leipzig 38%, draw 27%, Chemie Leipzig 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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