Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 Chemie Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 May 2024

Lokomotive Leipzig
0-2 HT 0-2
Chemie Leipzig
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemie Leipzig Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.6
No OUR CALL
57%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS No — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.3pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lokomotive Leipzig v Chemie Leipzig — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.81/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.78
+7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemie Leipzig Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
02.04.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
16.10.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 3-0 HT 1-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
07.05.2022 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 2-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
21.11.2021 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
06.10.2019 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 2-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL

Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 Chemie Leipzig — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig
0-2
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
64% Ball Possession 36%
6 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemie Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemie Leipzig beat Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotive Leipzig at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Lokomotive Leipzig had 64% of the ball to Chemie Leipzig's 36%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lokomotive Leipzig and 0.83 for Chemie Leipzig.

What was the final score of Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemie Leipzig?

Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 Chemie Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemie Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotive Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lokomotive Leipzig 41%, draw 27%, Chemie Leipzig 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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