Tristan Suarez 1-1 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.38/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.19
+15% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tristan Suarez
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
11.08.2024 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 1-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
23.03.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-0 HT 0-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
09.07.2023 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 3-2 HT 3-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
04.03.2023 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 0-4 HT 0-4 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
17.05.2022 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-1 HT 1-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tristan Suarez and Deportivo Maipu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tristan Suarez at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maipu led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Tristan Suarez and 2.20 for Deportivo Maipu.

What was the final score of Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu?

Tristan Suarez 1-1 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tristan Suarez win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tristan Suarez 48%, draw 29%, Deportivo Maipu 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tristan Suarez), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tristan Suarez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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