W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 6 Apr 2025

W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
0-1 HT 0-1
Melbourne Victory (K)
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.09
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
17%
+11.7pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.4pp
53%
Away Win
62%
-9.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) v Melbourne Victory (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.05/2.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.29
-6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -7%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 449 · 83%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
15.5 Crosses 19.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.2

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
0.84 xG 1.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
296 Passes 273
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.01.2025 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 4-4 HT 1-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
16.02.2024 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
07.12.2019 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
02.12.2018 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
19.01.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
0-1
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
1.21 xG 0.93
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
295 Passes 405
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory (K) nicked a narrow win over W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Melbourne Victory (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had 45% of the ball to Melbourne Victory (K)'s 55%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.21 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) and 2.40 for Melbourne Victory (K).

What was the final score of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 28%, draw 19%, Melbourne Victory (K) 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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