Independiente Petrolero 0-2 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.62/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.58
+15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 71%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
20.2 Crosses 10.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.31 xG 1.66
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
199 Passes 274
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
28.09.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-1 HT 0-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
18.05.2024 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-2 HT 1-2 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
0-2
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0.59 xG 1.36
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 1
278 Passes 237
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gualberto Villarroel SJ beat Independiente Petrolero 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente Petrolero at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 55% of the ball to Gualberto Villarroel SJ's 45%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.59 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gualberto Villarroel SJ led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.50 for Gualberto Villarroel SJ.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Independiente Petrolero 0-2 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 49%, draw 26%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 25%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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