America Mineiro vs Botafogo SP Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
America Mineiro v Botafogo SP — Team-Based Signals
America Mineiro vs Botafogo SP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Botafogo SP
BR2
1-2
HT 0-0
America Mineiro
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
America Mineiro
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Botafogo SP
BR2
America Mineiro 1-0 Botafogo SP — Actual Match Statistics
America Mineiro edged past Botafogo SP 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had America Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, America Mineiro had 70% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 30%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.35 to 0.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold America Mineiro's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for America Mineiro and 0.83 for Botafogo SP.
What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Botafogo SP?
America Mineiro 1-0 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Botafogo SP?
Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 48%, draw 29%, Botafogo SP 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America Mineiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.