America Mineiro vs Botafogo SP Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
America Mineiro v Botafogo SP — Team-Based Signals
America Mineiro vs Botafogo SP Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Botafogo SP
BR2
1-2
HT 0-0
America Mineiro
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
America Mineiro
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Botafogo SP
BR2
America Mineiro 3-1 Botafogo SP — Actual Match Statistics
America Mineiro beat Botafogo SP 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had America Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, America Mineiro had 58% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 42%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.31 to 0.88.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for America Mineiro and 0.80 for Botafogo SP.
What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Botafogo SP?
America Mineiro 3-1 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Botafogo SP?
Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 57%, draw 22%, Botafogo SP 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America Mineiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.