Paysandu 0-3 Santos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 10 Aug 2024

Paysandu
0-3 HT 0-1
Santos
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Paysandu vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.56
Over 2.5
33%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
4.93
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.43 — our 39% vs market 34.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.4pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.8pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.7pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paysandu v Santos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paysandu EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos EU Bookmakers 43%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.99/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.91
+36% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.6 Crosses 19.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Paysandu vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paysandu
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Santos
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
0.25 xG 1.09
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
262 Passes 427
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Santos Santos 2-0 HT 0-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
11.05.2017 Paysandu Paysandu 1-3 HT 0-1 Santos Santos BRK
27.04.2017 Santos Santos 2-0 HT 0-0 Paysandu Paysandu BRK
25.08.2005 Paysandu Paysandu 2-3 HT 2-1 Santos Santos BR1
28.11.2004 Paysandu Paysandu 1-1 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1

Paysandu 0-3 Santos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paysandu
0-3
AWAY Santos
0.48 xG 1.12
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
417 Passes 293
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 16
33 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Paysandu vs Santos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos cruised past Paysandu 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 33% / 35%) promised a tight game; Santos found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

On the day, Paysandu had 58% of the ball to Santos's 42%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.48 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Santos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Paysandu and 2.20 for Santos.

What was the final score of Paysandu vs Santos?

Paysandu 0-3 Santos in the Brazil - Serie B on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Santos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 32%, draw 33%, Santos 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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