Sport Recife 3-2 Amazonas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.54
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.65
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 39% vs market 33.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.8pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Amazonas EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.29/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.99
+34% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
21.6 Crosses 10.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Recife
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Amazonas
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.35 xG 0.58
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 315
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Amazonas Amazonas 2-3 HT 0-1 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Recife
3-2
AWAY Amazonas
1.27 xG 1.76
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
250 Passes 328
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 12
7 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sport Recife vs Amazonas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Recife nicked a narrow win over Amazonas 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sport Recife as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sport Recife had 45% of the ball to Amazonas's 55%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.27 to 1.76 — on chances, Amazonas could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Amazonas?

Sport Recife 3-2 Amazonas in the Brazil - Serie B on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Amazonas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 49%, draw 30%, Amazonas 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sport Recife) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sport Recife) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
10 Aug 2024
01:15 Avai vs Operario PR Analysis →
02:00 Paysandu vs Santos Analysis →
03:00 Mirassol FC vs Brusque Analysis →
03:30 America Mineiro vs Botafogo SP Analysis →
23:00 Ituano vs Chapecoense Analysis →