Mirassol FC 2-0 Brusque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.32
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.22
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.2pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.7pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.7pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Brusque EU Bookmakers 19%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.29/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.49
-14% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
19.0 Crosses 15.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Brusque
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.62 xG 0.33
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
480 Passes 209
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.04.2024 Brusque Brusque 3-1 HT 1-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
2-0
AWAY Brusque
1.47 xG 0.63
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
325 Passes 423
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 7
12 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Brusque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC saw off Brusque 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mirassol FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 44% of the ball to Brusque's 56%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.47 to 0.63.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Brusque?

Mirassol FC 2-0 Brusque in the Brazil - Serie B on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Brusque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 51%, draw 30%, Brusque 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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