Avai 1-0 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.36
Over 2.5
38%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
15%
7.49
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.4pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avai EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
1.10/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.24
-22% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
23.6 Crosses 18.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avai
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Operario PR
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.84 xG 1.15
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
303 Passes 375
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Operario PR Operario PR 1-0 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR2
30.10.2021 Operario PR Operario PR 2-1 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR2
23.07.2021 Avai Avai 1-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
04.12.2020 Operario PR Operario PR 1-1 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR2
02.09.2020 Avai Avai 2-0 HT 2-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avai
1-0
AWAY Operario PR
0.64 xG 0.46
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
236 Passes 379
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avai vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avai edged past Operario PR 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Avai made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Avai had 41% of the ball to Operario PR's 59%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.64 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Avai and 0.80 for Operario PR.

What was the final score of Avai vs Operario PR?

Avai 1-0 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avai vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Avai 40%, draw 29%, Operario PR 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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