Esbjerg 1-2 Kolding IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

Esbjerg
1-2 HT 0-0
Kolding IF
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

Esbjerg vs Kolding IF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.51
6+ Goals
11%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.19
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
11%
6.05
X/2
17%
5.4
X/X
13%
4.66
2/1
10%
30.5
2/2
12%
3.52
2/X
9%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Esbjerg v Kolding IF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.34/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.12
-3% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
16.0 Crosses 18.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Esbjerg vs Kolding IF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esbjerg
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kolding IF
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 1.71
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
255 Passes 396
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.02.2025 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-1 HT 0-1 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
21.08.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-2 HT 0-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
17.06.2023 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-2 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
16.04.2023 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN2
23.10.2022 Esbjerg Esbjerg 2-1 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN2
03.09.2022 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-0 HT 1-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2

Esbjerg 1-2 Kolding IF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esbjerg
1-2
AWAY Kolding IF
0.47 xG 2.47
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
348 Passes 335
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Esbjerg vs Kolding IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolding IF squeezed past Esbjerg 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Kolding IF made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Esbjerg had 51% of the ball to Kolding IF's 49%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.47 to 2.47 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kolding IF's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esbjerg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Esbjerg and 1.00 for Kolding IF.

What was the final score of Esbjerg vs Kolding IF?

Esbjerg 1-2 Kolding IF in the Denmark 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs Kolding IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolding IF win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 34%, draw 29%, Kolding IF 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolding IF) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kolding IF) ✗ Under 2.5
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