Deportivo Cali 3-1 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.32/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.20
-13% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
18.1 Crosses 13.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
0W-4D-2L
AWAY La Equidad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
300 Passes 236
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
09.03.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
20.09.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
09.04.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
27.09.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-2 HT 1-2 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
02.04.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cali
3-1
AWAY La Equidad
1.22 xG 0.64
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
320 Passes 239
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 11
10 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cali vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cali got the better of La Equidad 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Cali as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Cali had 55% of the ball to La Equidad's 45%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.22 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Cali and 1.00 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs La Equidad?

Deportivo Cali 3-1 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 45%, draw 30%, La Equidad 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Cali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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