Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Bucaramanga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Atletico Bucaramanga — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Bucaramanga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Bucaramanga
KOL
1-1
HT 1-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Atletico Bucaramanga
KOL
Deportes Tolima 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima squeezed past Atletico Bucaramanga 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Deportes Tolima made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 40% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 60%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 2.18 to 0.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Deportes Tolima's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportes Tolima and 0.67 for Atletico Bucaramanga.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
Deportes Tolima 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 38%, draw 32%, Atletico Bucaramanga 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.