Once Caldas 3-0 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.9pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -26%
1.25/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.11
+10% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
294 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
18.8 Crosses 13.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
1W-4D-1L
AWAY America de Cali
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.77 xG 1.41
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
186 Passes 320
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 3-0 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
25.11.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 1-1 HT 1-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
15.11.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 3-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
29.04.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
27.10.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
15.05.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
3-0
AWAY America de Cali
1.90 xG 0.47
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
251 Passes 312
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas swept aside America de Cali 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Once Caldas as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Once Caldas had 46% of the ball to America de Cali's 54%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 1.90 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Once Caldas and 0.83 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs America de Cali?

Once Caldas 3-0 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 48%, draw 27%, America de Cali 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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