Once Caldas 3-0 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.4pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.6pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.25/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.95
-12% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
301 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
19.4 Crosses 12.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
0W-5D-1L
AWAY America de Cali
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.61 xG 1.38
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
219 Passes 309
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 1-1 HT 1-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
15.11.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 3-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
29.04.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
27.10.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
15.05.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
27.08.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
3-0
AWAY America de Cali
1.35 xG 1.79
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 7
134 Passes 322
63% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 28
5 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas swept aside America de Cali 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Once Caldas made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Once Caldas had 34% of the ball to America de Cali's 66%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.35 to 1.79 — the balance of chances actually favoured America de Cali.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Once Caldas and 1.00 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs America de Cali?

Once Caldas 3-0 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 40%, draw 32%, America de Cali 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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