America de Cali 1-1 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒01:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.3pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
1.34/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.18
+1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
15.4 Crosses 12.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Once Caldas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.11 xG 0.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 Passes 227
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.11.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 3-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
29.04.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
27.10.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
15.05.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
27.08.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
28.02.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
1-1
AWAY Once Caldas
2.47 xG 0.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
333 Passes 170
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
34 Box Touches 4
34 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali and Once Caldas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was America de Cali at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, America de Cali had 64% of the ball to Once Caldas's 36%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.47 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for America de Cali and 0.33 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Once Caldas?

America de Cali 1-1 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 48%, draw 30%, Once Caldas 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (America de Cali), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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