Deportes Tolima 1-0 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 25 Nov 2024

Deportes Tolima
1-0 HT 1-0
Junior
📅25/11/2024 · 🕒03:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Deportes Tolima vs Junior Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.6
Over 2.5
35%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.0pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.7pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportes Tolima v Junior — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.11/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.10
-5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
17.6 Crosses 13.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Deportes Tolima vs Junior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Tolima
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Junior
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.24 xG 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
347 Passes 384
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.08.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0-1 HT 0-1 Junior Junior KOL
19.02.2024 Junior Junior 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
07.12.2023 Junior Junior 4-2 HT 3-2 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
14.11.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 3-1 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
25.09.2023 Junior Junior 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
17.04.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL

Deportes Tolima 1-0 Junior — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Tolima
1-0
AWAY Junior
1.56 xG 0.43
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
422 Passes 330
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
37 Box Touches 7
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima nicked a narrow win over Junior 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Deportes Tolima had 55% of the ball to Junior's 45%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.56 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.17 for Junior.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Junior?

Deportes Tolima 1-0 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 44%, draw 33%, Junior 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
25 Nov 2024
01:10 America de Cali vs Once Caldas Analysis →