Junior 3-2 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.33/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.16
+18% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
15.0 Crosses 12.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.68 xG 1.28
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
367 Passes 352
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
25.08.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0-1 HT 0-1 Junior Junior KOL
19.02.2024 Junior Junior 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
07.12.2023 Junior Junior 4-2 HT 3-2 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
14.11.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 3-1 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
25.09.2023 Junior Junior 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
3-2
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.31 xG 1.54
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
198 Passes 409
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Junior vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior edged past Deportes Tolima 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Junior made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Junior had 35% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 65%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.31 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Junior and 1.33 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of Junior vs Deportes Tolima?

Junior 3-2 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Junior 39%, draw 26%, Deportes Tolima 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
5 Dec 2024
02:30 Once Caldas vs America de Cali Analysis →