Nasarawa United 2-0 Akwa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.75
No
67%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-0.8pp
33%
BTTS Yes
32%
+0.7pp
67%
BTTS No
68%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Akwa United EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.47/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.95
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +48%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
172 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 159 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nasarawa United
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Akwa United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
16.11.2024 Akwa United Akwa United 1-0 HT 1-0 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
02.01.2022 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 2-0 HT 0-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
01.07.2021 Akwa United Akwa United 2-1 HT 2-0 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
14.02.2021 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 2-1 HT 0-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
18.03.2020 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 0-0 HT 0-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nasarawa United
2-0
AWAY Akwa United
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nasarawa United vs Akwa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nasarawa United saw off Akwa United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nasarawa United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

On the day, Nasarawa United had 54% of the ball to Akwa United's 46%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nasarawa United and 0.80 for Akwa United.

What was the final score of Nasarawa United vs Akwa United?

Nasarawa United 2-0 Akwa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nasarawa United vs Akwa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nasarawa United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Nasarawa United 57%, draw 28%, Akwa United 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nasarawa United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nasarawa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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