Katsina United 1-1 Bayelsa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
10%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.81
No
60%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
3%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.8pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.7pp
10%
Away Win
12%
-1.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
32%
+7.9pp
60%
BTTS No
68%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katsina United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 15%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.72/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.17
+10% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +34%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katsina United
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Bayelsa United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
17.11.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 1-1 HT 0-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
16.04.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 1-1 HT 1-1 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
26.11.2023 Katsina United Katsina United 1-1 HT 0-1 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ
POST-MATCH Katsina United vs Bayelsa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katsina United and Bayelsa United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Katsina United at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Katsina United and 1.00 for Bayelsa United.

What was the final score of Katsina United vs Bayelsa United?

Katsina United 1-1 Bayelsa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katsina United vs Bayelsa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katsina United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Katsina United 58%, draw 31%, Bayelsa United 10%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Katsina United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Katsina United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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