Bayelsa United 1-1 Katsina United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 17 Nov 2024

Bayelsa United
1-1 HT 0-0
Katsina United
📅17/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2024/2025

Bayelsa United vs Katsina United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.6
No
68%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.0pp
32%
BTTS Yes
34%
-2.6pp
68%
BTTS No
66%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayelsa United v Katsina United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Katsina United EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.23/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.41
-24% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Bayelsa United vs Katsina United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayelsa United
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Katsina United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
16.04.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 1-1 HT 1-1 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
26.11.2023 Katsina United Katsina United 1-1 HT 0-1 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ
POST-MATCH Bayelsa United vs Katsina United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayelsa United and Katsina United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bayelsa United at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bayelsa United and 1.00 for Katsina United.

What was the final score of Bayelsa United vs Katsina United?

Bayelsa United 1-1 Katsina United in the Nigeria NPFL on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayelsa United vs Katsina United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayelsa United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bayelsa United 54%, draw 26%, Katsina United 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bayelsa United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayelsa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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