Abia Warriors 1-1 Enyimba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.38
Over 2.5
31%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.2pp
69%
Under 2.5
69%
-0.1pp
31%
Over 2.5
31%
+0.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.6pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abia Warriors EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Enyimba EU Bookmakers 27%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.35/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.63
+8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abia Warriors
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Enyimba
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
19.12.2021 Enyimba Enyimba 2-1 HT 1-0 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ
29.12.2020 Enyimba Enyimba 1-0 HT 0-0 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ
POST-MATCH Abia Warriors vs Enyimba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abia Warriors and Enyimba shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Abia Warriors at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Enyimba led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Abia Warriors and 1.50 for Enyimba.

What was the final score of Abia Warriors vs Enyimba?

Abia Warriors 1-1 Enyimba in the Nigeria NPFL on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abia Warriors vs Enyimba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Abia Warriors win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Abia Warriors 46%, draw 32%, Enyimba 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Abia Warriors), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Abia Warriors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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