Enugu Rangers 3-2 Bendel Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.49
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.75
No
57%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
63%
-1.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
32%
+10.5pp
57%
BTTS No
68%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Enugu Rangers EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 15%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.89/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.60
+17% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Enugu Rangers
3-2
AWAY Bendel Insurance
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Enugu Rangers squeezed past Bendel Insurance 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Enugu Rangers as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Enugu Rangers had 47% of the ball to Bendel Insurance's 53%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance?

Enugu Rangers 3-2 Bendel Insurance in the Nigeria NPFL on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated a Enugu Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Enugu Rangers 62%, draw 21%, Bendel Insurance 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Enugu Rangers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Enugu Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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