Kano Pillars 2-2 Heartland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.13
No
64%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.8pp
64%
BTTS No
57%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kano Pillars EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Heartland EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.41/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.30
-13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kano Pillars
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Heartland
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
21.01.2024 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars 2-1 HT 0-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
29.01.2022 Heartland Heartland 0-1 HT 0-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
28.03.2021 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars 2-1 HT 1-1 Heartland Heartland NIJ
POST-MATCH Kano Pillars vs Heartland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kano Pillars and Heartland couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kano Pillars at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kano Pillars had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kano Pillars and 0.67 for Heartland.

What was the final score of Kano Pillars vs Heartland?

Kano Pillars 2-2 Heartland in the Nigeria NPFL on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kano Pillars vs Heartland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kano Pillars win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kano Pillars 53%, draw 26%, Heartland 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kano Pillars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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