Hermannstadt 0-2 Buzau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
18.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 31% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-12.0pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.3pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Buzau EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.49/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.48
-18% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 69%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
23.0 Crosses 13.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermannstadt
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Buzau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.27 xG 0.85
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 2
417 Passes 423
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
40 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.02.2025 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 2-1 HT 1-1 Buzau Buzau ROM
18.10.2024 Buzau Buzau 3-0 HT 1-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermannstadt
0-2
AWAY Buzau
2.84 xG 0.66
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
540 Passes 353
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 12
44 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hermannstadt vs Buzau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buzau saw off Hermannstadt 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Hermannstadt at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hermannstadt had 60% of the ball to Buzau's 40%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 2.84 to 0.66 — on chances, Hermannstadt could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hermannstadt and 2.00 for Buzau.

What was the final score of Hermannstadt vs Buzau?

Hermannstadt 0-2 Buzau in the Romania - 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermannstadt vs Buzau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hermannstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hermannstadt 46%, draw 31%, Buzau 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hermannstadt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hermannstadt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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