Al Fayha 1-1 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒17:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No OUR CALL
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.8pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.06/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.25
-40% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
14.1 Crosses 18.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fayha
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Al Fateh
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.97 xG 0.90
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 Passes 430
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2024 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
09.05.2024 Al Fayha Al Fayha 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
25.11.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
09.05.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
30.12.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
13.01.2022 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fayha
1-1
AWAY Al Fateh
2.73 xG 1.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
216 Passes 229
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Fayha vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fayha and Al Fateh shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Fayha had 49% of the ball to Al Fateh's 51%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.73 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fayha had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Fayha and 0.50 for Al Fateh.

What was the final score of Al Fayha vs Al Fateh?

Al Fayha 1-1 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fayha vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fayha win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Fayha 39%, draw 23%, Al Fateh 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Fayha), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Fayha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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