Al Raed 1-2 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 6 Apr 2025

Al Raed
1-2 HT 1-0
Al Khaleej
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Raed vs Al Khaleej Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.41
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 30% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Raed v Al Khaleej — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.30/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.96
+21% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
15.6 Crosses 22.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Al Raed vs Al Khaleej Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Raed
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Khaleej
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.55 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 Passes 300
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.11.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
01.04.2024 Al Raed Al Raed 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
07.10.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
27.05.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
20.01.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
04.05.2017 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD

Al Raed 1-2 Al Khaleej — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Raed
1-2
AWAY Al Khaleej
1.28 xG 1.70
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 10
256 Passes 437
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Khaleej nicked a narrow win over Al Raed 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Khaleej as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Raed had 40% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 60%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.28 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Khaleej led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Raed and 1.50 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Al Khaleej?

Al Raed 1-2 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Khaleej win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 33%, draw 26%, Al Khaleej 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Khaleej) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Khaleej) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
6 Apr 2025
17:25 Al Fayha vs Al Fateh Analysis →
21:00 Al Wehda vs Al Shabab Riyadh Analysis →