Arnavutköy Belediye 3-2 Ankara Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
44%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+7.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ankara Demirspor EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.47/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.31
-58% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ankara Demirspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
23.11.2024 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye
3-2
AWAY Ankara Demirspor
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arnavutköy Belediye vs Ankara Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutköy Belediye edged past Ankara Demirspor 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ankara Demirspor at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Arnavutköy Belediye had 48% of the ball to Ankara Demirspor's 52%, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of Arnavutköy Belediye vs Ankara Demirspor?

Arnavutköy Belediye 3-2 Ankara Demirspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arnavutköy Belediye vs Ankara Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ankara Demirspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arnavutköy Belediye 31%, draw 25%, Ankara Demirspor 44%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ankara Demirspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ankara Demirspor) ✓ BTTS Yes
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