Nazilli Belediyespor 1-5 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.95
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
58%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+9.0pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.0pp
58%
Away Win
73%
-14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 78%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.99/2.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+38% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
212 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 3-0 HT 2-0 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor T2L-K
10.12.2023 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 3-0 HT 1-0 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor S2-B
01.05.2022 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 0-2 HT 0-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor T2L-K
18.12.2021 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 0-2 HT 0-1 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor S2-B
31.03.2011 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 4-2 HT 1-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor S3-1
POST-MATCH Nazilli Belediyespor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor ran out comfortable winners over Nazilli Belediyespor 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karacabey Belediye Spor as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Karacabey Belediye Spor led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Nazilli Belediyespor and 2.00 for Karacabey Belediye Spor.

What was the final score of Nazilli Belediyespor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Nazilli Belediyespor 1-5 Karacabey Belediye Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nazilli Belediyespor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karacabey Belediye Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Nazilli Belediyespor 19%, draw 23%, Karacabey Belediye Spor 58%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T2L-K More Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup
6 Apr 2025
15:00 Elazığspor vs Serik Belediyespor Analysis →
15:00 Karaman Futbol Kulübü vs Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Analysis →
15:00 Menemen FK vs Diyarbekir Spor Analysis →
15:00 Arnavutköy Belediye vs Ankara Demirspor Analysis →
15:00 Van Spor FK vs Bucaspor 1928 Analysis →
15:00 Ankaraspor vs 24Erzincanspor Analysis →