Elazığspor 3-1 Serik Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elazığspor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Serik Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 40%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.75/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.03/1.07
+64% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elazığspor
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Serik Belediyespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
23.11.2024 Serik Belediyespor 2-1 HT 2-1 Elazığspor Elazığspor T2L-K
03.02.2021 Serik Belediyespor 2-1 HT 1-0 Elazığspor Elazığspor S2-K
26.09.2020 Elazığspor Elazığspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Serik Belediyespor S2-K
POST-MATCH Elazığspor vs Serik Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elazığspor saw off Serik Belediyespor 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Elazığspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Serik Belediyespor led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Elazığspor and 1.67 for Serik Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Elazığspor vs Serik Belediyespor?

Elazığspor 3-1 Serik Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elazığspor vs Serik Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Serik Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Elazığspor 32%, draw 27%, Serik Belediyespor 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Serik Belediyespor), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Serik Belediyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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