ES Metlaoui 0-2 Zarzis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - Cup, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
26%
2.77
Away
38%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
32%
-6.8pp
38%
Away Win
28%
+9.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Zarzis EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Zarzis
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
09.02.2025 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-0 HT 1-0 Zarzis Zarzis TUN1
29.09.2024 Zarzis Zarzis 1-0 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
26.05.2022 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-0 HT 0-0 Zarzis Zarzis TUN
14.05.2022 Zarzis Zarzis 1-1 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs Zarzis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zarzis got the better of ES Metlaoui 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Zarzis found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, ES Metlaoui had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for ES Metlaoui and 0.50 for Zarzis.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs Zarzis?

ES Metlaoui 0-2 Zarzis in the Tunisia - Cup on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs Zarzis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zarzis win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 36%, draw 26%, Zarzis 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zarzis), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zarzis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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