Alanyaspor 0-1 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.68
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.58
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
15%
5.15
X/2
14%
6.16
X/X
12%
3.87
2/1
10%
32.5
2/2
13%
4.73
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.62/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.48
+2% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.3 Crosses 14.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bodrum FK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.28 xG 0.68
67% Ball Possession 33%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
515 Passes 215
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
0-1
AWAY Bodrum FK
0.69 xG 0.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
468 Passes 313
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 9
33 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodrum FK edged past Alanyaspor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Alanyaspor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 59% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 41%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 0.69 to 0.17 — on chances, Alanyaspor could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Bodrum FK?

Alanyaspor 0-1 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - Super League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 42%, draw 25%, Bodrum FK 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alanyaspor), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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