Fenerbahçe 4-1 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.51
2-3 Goals
34%
1.91
4-5 Goals
29%
2.82
6+ Goals
15%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.81
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.5
X/1
15%
4.08
X/2
6%
12.5
X/X
8%
6.84
2/1 EV+ ✓
13%
20.25
2/2
6%
9.77
2/X
8%
18.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.25 — our 13% vs market 2.6%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
2.14/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.71
+12% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
24.4 Crosses 15.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Trabzonspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.44 xG 1.38
50% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
326 Passes 327
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.11.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-3 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
17.03.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-3 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
04.11.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-3 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
18.05.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-1 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
24.12.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
06.03.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-1 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
4-1
AWAY Trabzonspor
1.81 xG 1.41
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
357 Passes 338
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe ran out comfortable winners over Trabzonspor 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 51% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 49%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 1.81 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fenerbahçe and 1.83 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Trabzonspor?

Fenerbahçe 4-1 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Super League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 60%, draw 23%, Trabzonspor 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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