Hatayspor 0-1 Eyüpspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
38%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.85
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.73
6+ Goals
9%
7.08
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.85 — our 28% vs market 15.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
19%
6.01
1/2
9%
20.2
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
14%
8.76
X/2
14%
4.71
X/X
12%
6.16
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.33
2/X
5%
13.4
Value flag · 1/1 at 6.01 — our 19% vs market 12.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
25%
+13.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
38%
Away Win
52%
-14.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 56%
+11% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+33% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
246 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.8 Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Eyüpspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.94 xG 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
312 Passes 366
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
03.11.2024 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
01.12.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor TÜK
24.03.2018 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor S2-K
04.11.2017 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor S2-K
09.11.2016 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-3 HT 1-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor S2-K
27.01.2008 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor ASP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
0-1
AWAY Eyüpspor
0.96 xG 1.76
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
231 Passes 375
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Eyüpspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eyüpspor edged past Hatayspor 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Eyüpspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hatayspor had 40% of the ball to Eyüpspor's 60%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 0.96 to 1.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hatayspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hatayspor and 1.17 for Eyüpspor.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Eyüpspor?

Hatayspor 0-1 Eyüpspor in the Turkey - Super League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Eyüpspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hatayspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 38%, draw 24%, Eyüpspor 38%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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