Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.46/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.54
+27% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
20.4 Crosses 20.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 0.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
287 Passes 200
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.09.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 4-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
16.03.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
30.07.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
14.04.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-2 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
13.08.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
11.04.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 3-1 HT 1-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
1-2
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.28 xG 0.81
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
478 Passes 157
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos edged past Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Metropolitanos made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 70% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 30%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.28 to 0.81 — the balance of chances actually favoured Estudiantes De Merida.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes De Merida had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.00 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Metropolitanos?

Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 39%, draw 26%, Metropolitanos 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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