Ipswich Town 2-1 Birmingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.91
Over
45%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.84
No
58%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
32%
3.32
2-3
38%
1.75
4-5
21%
3.33
6+
9%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.32 — our 32% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.0
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.3
X/1
27%
3.99
X/2
7%
10.5
X/X
12%
5.38
2/1
11%
22.65
2/2
6%
8.68
2/X
5%
17.2
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Ipswich Town The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham The Market 21%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.99 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.03
0.84 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.47
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Average Defensevs comparable teams Weak
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
365 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
21.9 Crosses 16.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Birmingham
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.29
57% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
331 Passes 210
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.08.2025 Birmingham Birmingham 1-1 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
24.02.2024 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 3-1 HT 1-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
04.11.2023 Birmingham Birmingham 2-2 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
13.04.2019 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
29.09.2018 Birmingham Birmingham 2-2 HT 0-2 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
31.03.2018 Birmingham Birmingham 1-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
2-1
AWAY Birmingham
1.89 xG 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 Passes 217
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Ipswich Town vs Birmingham
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ipswich Town shaded a tight game against Birmingham 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ipswich Town as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Ipswich Town had 54% of the ball to Birmingham's 46%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.89 to 0.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ipswich Town's control.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ipswich Town and 1.33 for Birmingham.

Ipswich Town vs Birmingham Result & Final Score

Ipswich Town 2-1 Birmingham in the England - Championship on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ipswich Town vs Birmingham Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 61%, draw 22%, Birmingham 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ipswich Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ipswich Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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