Ipswich Town vs Birmingham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Ipswich Town v Birmingham — Team-Based Signals
Ipswich Town vs Birmingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Ipswich Town 3-1 Birmingham — Actual Match Statistics
Ipswich Town got the better of Birmingham 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ipswich Town as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 54% and both teams to score at 52%. At 1.64 (~61%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
By the numbers, Ipswich Town had 60% of the ball to Birmingham's 40%, shots finished 26-11, expected goals 2.46 to 0.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ipswich Town and 1.17 for Birmingham.
Ipswich Town vs Birmingham Result & Final Score
Ipswich Town 3-1 Birmingham in the England - Championship on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Ipswich Town vs Birmingham Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 55%, draw 25%, Birmingham 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ipswich Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.