Leiston 1-3 Bury Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
23%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
43%
+7.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
23%
Away Win
31%
-7.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.7pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bury Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.85/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.97
+15% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +55%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bury Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.02.2026 Bury Town Bury Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Bury Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bury Town beat Leiston 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Leiston at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Bury Town?

Leiston 1-3 Bury Town in the England - Non League Premier on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Bury Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Leiston 50%, draw 27%, Bury Town 23%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leiston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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