AFC Sudbury 1-3 Needham Market — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.91
Draw
14%
4.81
Away
71%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
54%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
13%
+1.9pp
14%
Draw
17%
-2.9pp
71%
Away Win
70%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Needham Market EU Bookmakers 75%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.26/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.66
+15% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +48%
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Needham Market
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
03.02.2026 Needham Market Needham Market 4-2 HT 2-2 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
01.04.2024 Needham Market Needham Market 3-0 HT 2-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
01.01.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-0 HT 1-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Needham Market
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Needham Market beat AFC Sudbury 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Needham Market as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Needham Market led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Sudbury and 2.33 for Needham Market.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Needham Market?

AFC Sudbury 1-3 Needham Market in the England - Non League Premier on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Needham Market?

Before kick-off our model rated an Needham Market win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 15%, draw 14%, Needham Market 71%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Needham Market), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Needham Market) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
6 Apr 2026
15:00 Royston Town vs St Ives Town Analysis →
17:00 Stratford Town vs Kettering Town Analysis →
17:00 Leiston vs Bury Town Analysis →
17:00 Stamford vs Quorn Analysis →
17:00 Harborough Town vs Banbury United Analysis →
17:00 Real Bedford vs Bishops Stortford Analysis →