Universidad Chile 4-0 La Serena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY La Serena EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.74/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.59
+4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 71%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
22.9 Crosses 13.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Chile
3W-3D-0L
AWAY La Serena
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.75 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
317 Passes 236
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.03.2026 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-2 HT 1-2 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİLK
28.09.2025 La Serena La Serena 1-1 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
18.04.2025 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 3-1 HT 2-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
09.10.2022 La Serena La Serena 1-2 HT 0-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
08.05.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-0 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
07.09.2021 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-1 HT 0-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
4-0
AWAY La Serena
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 9
250 Passes 257
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
POST-MATCH Universidad Chile vs La Serena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile swept aside La Serena 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Universidad Chile as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 49% of the ball to La Serena's 51%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universidad Chile had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Universidad Chile and 1.00 for La Serena.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs La Serena?

Universidad Chile 4-0 La Serena in the Chile - Premier League on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs La Serena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 55%, draw 24%, La Serena 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Chile) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Chile)
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