La Louvière 0-1 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.96
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.57
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
19%
4.47
X/2
9%
7.94
X/X
12%
4.47
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.0
2/2
10%
6.24
2/X
6%
14.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Louvière EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 28%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.67/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.81
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
40.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
30.0 Crosses 18.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Louvière
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Dender EH
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.55 xG 1.38
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
257 Passes 368
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.12.2025 La Louvière La Louvière 1-2 HT 1-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
28.09.2025 Dender EH Dender EH 0-0 HT 0-0 La Louvière La Louvière BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Louvière
0-1
AWAY Dender EH
2.87 xG 1.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
307 Passes 261
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
39 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH La Louvière vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH nicked a narrow win over La Louvière 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was La Louvière at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Louvière had 54% of the ball to Dender EH's 46%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.87 to 1.14 — the balance of chances actually favoured La Louvière.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dender EH led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for La Louvière and 1.00 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of La Louvière vs Dender EH?

La Louvière 0-1 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Louvière vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Louvière win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split La Louvière 49%, draw 25%, Dender EH 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (La Louvière) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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